Reader "The first principle is that you must not fool yourself—and you are the easiest person to fool." Richard Feynman Socrates, René Descartes, Carl Sagan, James Randi, Richard Feynman, and Penn & Teller were all practical skeptics. They demonstrated: Critical Inquiry: Asking tough questions and demanding clear evidence. Open-Mindedness: Being willing to change views when presented with better evidence. How about you? Are you a practical skeptic? “They” are trying to bend your mind (still and again)MindPrep 233 (HERE) and MindPrep 285 (HERE) posed the challenge that people and organizations are trying to influence our thinking. Sometimes this attempt is for a good reason (e.g., your parents, a teacher) and sometimes it’s for a not-so-good reason. And sometimes it seems so wild or goofy that you say, “How could anyone fall for that?” But we do. (Well, at least some of us do.)
Watch for red flagsUnrealistic Promises: If it sounds too good, it likely isn’t true. Upfront Payments: Legitimate offers don’t require fees to access rewards. Time Pressure: "Act now or lose this deal!" creates urgency to cloud judgment. Lack of Transparency: If the terms, conditions, or details seem vague or hidden, it’s a red flag. Everyday skepticism – 3 recommendationsAsk Key Questions:
Evaluate Sources: Check for credibility, authority, and potential biases. Follow the Money: Analyze motivations behind claims (e.g., financial incentives, political agendas). Bottom line: It pays to be a skeptic. May I ask a favor?If you like my weekly musing, please forward this to a friend or colleague. They can get on my email list, which is never shared, by clicking HERE. Cheers, Bill |
Four careers over 50+ years. USMC, engineering, consulting, education. Past twenty years have focused on helping leaders become and remain relevant during times of change.
Reader, When you consider the mix of Trump, China, AI, the economy, the “next” pandemic, climate change, and generational shifts, the future seems to be up for grabs. And yet, we are marching into it day-by-day. Here are a few things to ponder. 1. The Future is not a blank sheet of paper. You have knowledge and experience, so start with a hypothesis (or better, hypotheses) and look for the clues that might signify you are right or wrong. 2. Look for disconfirming data. We love to be right,...
Reader, "History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes." – Mark Twain Hindsight can be described as the ability to understand and draw lessons from events after they have happened. It’s not about remembering the facts – it’s all about finding the lessons. While hindsight doesn’t change the past, it can shape better decisions in the future by converting experience into wisdom. Failure to Use Hindsight – Some Famous Examples Kodak Ignoring the Shift to Digital in the early 2000s. They might have...
Reader, We live in a wicked world - a term borrowed from systems theory and complexity science to describe environments that are nonlinear, interconnected, fast-changing, and filled with uncertainty. Wicked challenges rarely have clear boundaries or definitive solutions and decisions made in one part of a system can ripple unpredictably through others. Let’s consider the U.S.–China tariff war of 2018–2020 as a case study to explore the characteristics of a wicked system. The earlier tariff...