Reader "The first principle is that you must not fool yourself—and you are the easiest person to fool." Richard Feynman Socrates, René Descartes, Carl Sagan, James Randi, Richard Feynman, and Penn & Teller were all practical skeptics. They demonstrated: Critical Inquiry: Asking tough questions and demanding clear evidence. Open-Mindedness: Being willing to change views when presented with better evidence. How about you? Are you a practical skeptic? “They” are trying to bend your mind (still and again)MindPrep 233 (HERE) and MindPrep 285 (HERE) posed the challenge that people and organizations are trying to influence our thinking. Sometimes this attempt is for a good reason (e.g., your parents, a teacher) and sometimes it’s for a not-so-good reason. And sometimes it seems so wild or goofy that you say, “How could anyone fall for that?” But we do. (Well, at least some of us do.)
Watch for red flagsUnrealistic Promises: If it sounds too good, it likely isn’t true. Upfront Payments: Legitimate offers don’t require fees to access rewards. Time Pressure: "Act now or lose this deal!" creates urgency to cloud judgment. Lack of Transparency: If the terms, conditions, or details seem vague or hidden, it’s a red flag. Everyday skepticism – 3 recommendationsAsk Key Questions:
Evaluate Sources: Check for credibility, authority, and potential biases. Follow the Money: Analyze motivations behind claims (e.g., financial incentives, political agendas). Bottom line: It pays to be a skeptic. May I ask a favor?If you like my weekly musing, please forward this to a friend or colleague. They can get on my email list, which is never shared, by clicking HERE. Cheers, Bill |
Four careers over 50+ years. USMC, engineering, consulting, education. Past twenty years have focused on helping leaders become and remain relevant during times of change.
Reader, Have you ever seen decisions that seemed like a great idea at the time—only to see them backfire later? For example, the widespread use of antibiotics saved millions of lives, but overuse led to antibiotic-resistant bacteria, making some infections harder to treat. Or maybe you held on to your bestselling product for too long and you became irrelevant (Kodak). These are examples of unintended consequences—the hidden, second- and third-order effects of decisions that only become...
Reader, Foresight and the lack of it has been on my mind. Here's a short piece about "news" that has almost become background noise. Leaders should be paying more attention. Facts According to the CDC, as of February 21, 2025, the ongoing H5N1 avian influenza outbreak has led to the culling of approximately 162.8 million poultry in the United States. This extensive loss has significantly disrupted the egg industry, resulting in soaring prices and supply shortages. In January 2025 alone, over...
Reader, Did Sears Roebuck intercept the future of retailing? Did Tesla intercept the future of the automobile? Who is in the process of intercepting the future of “intelligence?’ For too many organizations the question of “Can we intercept the future of our industry?” is a work in progress. This issue of MindPrep continues our examination of the work associated with building and using foresight for our businesses and our careers. The last issue addressed the question of “Where is the future...