Reader
I was on the treadmill this morning pondering macroeconomics and whether cryptocurrency is part of the M1 or M2 money supply. (Darn impressive, huh?)
And, as I considered my confusion about cryptocurrencies, I sensed something familiar from my youth. What was it? And then it hit me – cryptocurrencies are like baseball cards!
Then: “I have a Mickey Mantle. I’ll trade for a Hank Aaron and a Moose Skowron.”
Now: How many Dogecoins can I get for a Bitcoin?
Then: Should I hold on to my Ernie Banks rookie card? It may be worth a bunch when the Cubs win the World Series.
Today: I bought Bitcoin at $19,677. Should I hold it until it goes back above $50,000?
Then: I speculated on the value of every rookie card I got in my Tops Bubblegum pack. Hold on or get rid of it?
Today: Should I hold on to one of the “exotic” cryptocurrencies? It might go through the roof someday.
Disclaimer: I am NOT an economist like my friend Kay. But I like to think (also like my friend Kay).
Money has three functions:
• Medium of exchange (You can buy stuff with it).
• Unit of account (It acts as a standard measure of the value of something).
• Store of value (You can save it for a future use).
OK, let’s consider the cards from my youth.
• Medium of exchange: Even though I valued them as a precious commodity, Bud down at B&A Grocery would not accept any of them (even my Ernie Banks card!) for a fudgesicle on a hot summer day.
• Unit of account: Have you ever swapped baseball cards? How could Tom even think that his Hank Aaron was worth more than my Ted William? He was nuts! (But I did slip a Stan Musial past him.)
• Store of value: Ernie Banks always predicted a winning year for the Cubs and my “full roster” pack was worth a bunch at the beginning of the season. However, it lost “considerable” value when they visited the cellar (again).
This story, unfortunately, is like my baseball cards.
• Medium of exchange: I know I live in the backwaters of Colorado, but I can’t find a single store that will take crypto. The heathens want “real” money.
• Unit of account: Let’s just say it’s not stable. Is my used Honda worth three Bitcoins or a half of a Bitcoin? Am I living on the edge of poverty, or should I book that chateau in Switzerland? It depends on the day of the week.
• Store of value: As crypto inflates and deflates I’m not sure if I should dump it, hold it, or get more. I know what it’s worth today but tomorrow is another adventure in crypto-land.
I’m an engineer who likes to think about weird stuff and explain it in ways I can understand. I’m not an economist. I’m not a banker. Don’t take my advice (but maybe you should have kept that old Mickey Mantle rookie card).
Cheers,
Bill
Four careers over 50+ years. USMC, engineering, consulting, education. Past twenty years have focused on helping leaders become and remain relevant during times of change.
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